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Post by Vucub Caquix on Jul 11, 2019 23:58:31 GMT
Previously I made this list which turned out to possibly be not accurate. Now that we are getting closer to merge, I will analyze the players and rank them based on who I think will win. This way people can see how inaccurate I was after the game...
Round 13 Rankings:
1. Izanami - Izanami has a good threat level going into the merge. She's likable, well connected enough, and has people who are likely to fall apart around her. The only real issue is that she has made some minor newbie mistakes. However, I think she has the best position.
2. Loki - Loki goes up quite a bit here. It's pretty clear that the Loki who almost got voted out first is long gone. This Loki is powerful, and playing amazingly well. Heimdall and him have cemented power on the Titans very quickly. If he get to the end he probably wins, but there are a few people in his way...
3. Heimdall - Heimdall is also up there now. Not as high as Loki, as Heimdall might be more obvious as a person to take out down the line. But Heimdall is definitely someone who could win. Figuring out how and when to throw Loki under the bus might be what they need to win...
4. Erebus - Erebus is playing the strongest of former Asgard as far as I can see. Although he almost upset Heimdall enough for it to be a problem, he is in a good spot now. He's got great social game and strategic game, but a few people have an eye on him.
5. Fenrir - Fenrir is pretty underrated here, and if the threats all go down chopping at each other he's likely to be left standing at the end. His move of helping allies acquire the Perseus armor was... interesting, and could work in his favor later.
6. Dionysus - Dionysus is in a toughish spot now, but he's managed to charm his way into an alliance with the Utgard duo. If he survives this swap, he'll be going into the merge in a good position, similar to Izanami. Went down some spots due to swap and not being in the mega alliance.
7. Chronos - Chronos could definitely win this game, but he was seen as a goat once by Heimdall. That and nobody seems too close to Chronos. It's not impossible for him to improve that position though.
8. Pele - A lot of people have pegged Pele as a social threat, and losing the opportunity to form stronger connections within his two main alliances will hurt a lot going into a merge. Pele is probably destined to be taken out as a threat, but there's a chance for her.
9. Typhon - Typhon has been laying low since the swap, which probably is the best thing for him to do right now. His biggest issue is that Heimdall and Loki still exist. He's an easy scapegoat to take out early merge unless he finds some new allies.
10. Amaterasu - Ama is pretty likely to be seen as a goat by other players. But they have been playing an active role in the game, and against the right people they have a chance. But with threats for miles the chances of her winning seem slim.
11. Osiris - Osiris is in a really bad spot right now. In Asgard he was at the center of the alliances. Now he's the easy boot. But if he survives this swap, and it is possible that Olympians keep losing... he could be okay.
12. Zeus - Zeus is kind of on the outside of everything. His tribe mates don't really trust him a lot. But Zeus is definitely a fighter who could shake things up a bit.
13. Anubis - Anubis is likely an easy boot on Olympians. In this game, it's unlikely that they win in a final 3. There aren't enough players to beat. But I've underestimated him before...
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Post by Vucub Caquix on Jul 14, 2019 0:09:29 GMT
1. Izanami - I don't see much reason to more her from this spot right now. Still solid as a winner pick.
2. Dionysus - With the Olympians continuing to lose his odds of not making merge have dropped to very small. Loki and Heimdall seem to have his back for now, and he seems likely to go far when the merge hits.
3. Heimdall - Likely to get out Loki before he can do the same? Nobody seems to be gunning for her yet at least.
4. Fenrir - He's got a decent chance here. The remaining 5 of the 2 clan alliance are likely to collapse before they get around to him.
5. Loki - Drops a few positions because a few people are starting to become wary of him. Heimdall is definitely going to come after him eventually. How will he use the box?
6. Erebus - Still a solid player.
7. Chronos - Chances of making merge dropped a little, but I don't think he needs to worry yet.
8. Amaterasu - Hasn't been seen as a goat, actually considered a social threat by some. Possibly underrated by me.
9. Anubis - Not on death row, unlike next 3.
10. Typhon - Heimdall's got a gun...
11. Osiris - Needs to challenge beast his way through this game
12. Zeus - Zeus
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Post by Vucub Caquix on Jul 16, 2019 21:56:05 GMT
Merge! Things are shifting around a lot...
1. Erebus - Not involved in drama, likely safe for a while. Solid choice for now.
2. Izanami - Still pretty solid, unlikely to explode unlike many people here.
3. Loki - Has a good position in the game, seems like he isn't a target.
4. Chronos - Dionysus' betrayal puts him in a lot better spot.
5. Zeus - Came into merge swinging, holy shit I undervalued Zeus a lot. Is also a huge rat who could sell out anyone to win.
6. Heimdall - Might burst into flames at any point
7. Fenrir - Most likely to survive the initial Olympians pick off. Feasibly could win if in the end.
8. Dionysus - Could recover! But definitely lost a lot of power.
9. Amaterasu - Might survive the initial pick off if lucky. Or something could happen.
10. Osiris - Hasn't done a lot, unlikely to win a final 3.
11. Typhon - Death row
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Post by Vucub Caquix on Jul 19, 2019 19:26:51 GMT
Final 10!
1. Erebus - Still solid af 2. Chronos - Has a lot of power in the game, but will eventually have to fight the other trio. 3. Loki - Pretty great position, might get blindsided eventually. 4. Heimdall - One of the powerful four players here, but seems to be a big target. 5. Amaterasu - Didn't really move up so much as everyone else moved down. 6. Osiris - I see him probably being a losing finalist at this point. Anything is possible though. 7. Dionysus - Really in hot water now. Some people still want to work with him, but nobody trusts him at all... 8. Izanami - Dropped off the map a bit. 9. Zeus - Is back to being a target. At least Chronos could have his back. 10. Fenrir - Really far on the outside of the action.
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Post by Vucub Caquix on Jul 23, 2019 20:21:25 GMT
With only 8 left, who is most likely to win?
1. Loki - Has been playing incredibly since merge, would be an amazing winner. Can be good at challenges. Only issue is that he's seen as a pretty big threat, so it's a question of how long he can avoid that issue.
2. Amaterasu - Is respected as a social player, made strong alliances, and isn't generally seen as the biggest threat. Really good position for anyone who wants to win.
3. Izanami - Shot back up this round by getting into a good alliance. We'll see if she stays there. Likely safe at least for a couple votes.
4. Heimdall - Is in a tricky situation. Although Heimdall is a great player, she's also target number one. It's possible she'll round up the numbers to make it further, but can she make it to the end?
5. Chronos - A bit out of the loop, and a possible boot for the next tribals. Still has enough of a case to win if he makes it to the end somehow.
6. Dionysus - While his threat level is good for winning, he's seen very negatively by other players right now. The alliance of 5 talks about him pretty badly... even if he gets to the end which seems unlikely now, its gonna be tough.
7. Osiris - I'm not sure who is less likely to get jury votes between Osiris and Fenrir. Both seem like losing finalists who might conceivably stand a chance if against Dionysus.
8. Fenrir - Was called a "dead dog". Third place?
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Post by Vucub Caquix on Jul 25, 2019 19:37:01 GMT
Extremely cursed predictions 1. Amaterasu - Is now positioned to win, played out the last round really well 2. Izanami - I'm confused as to what they're doing, but sure, similarly good position. 90% chance one of these two wins looking at the others. 3. Dionysus - Might have a chance if he doesn't get eaten alive 4. Heimdall - Unlikely to get to the end unless she somehow becomes a challenge beast. 5. Osiris - Wins maybe against Dio and Fenrir? Depends how badly Dio is perceived at FTC. 6. Chronos - Most likely dies after losing a immunity 7. Fenrir - ?
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